Charting the Global Economy: Jobs, Inflation Feed Rate-Hike Bets
Summary
A stronger-than-expected US jobs report pushed markets to price in a higher chance of Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2026. Investors also raised inflation expectations as the Iran war increased energy and supply risk.
Why it matters
Markets are repricing the long end of the policy path, tightening financial conditions globally and changing the playbook for currencies, equities, and credit.