UPI MDR could create Rs 27,000 crore revenue pool by FY28: Bernstein
Summary
A 40-basis-point merchant discount rate on UPI transactions could create a revenue pool of about Rs 27,000 crore by fiscal 2028. Issuing banks, UPI apps, merchant-facing payment platforms and acquiring banks would share the proceeds, while smaller transactions could remain exempt.
The proposed fee changes UPI from a transaction-growth utility into a monetizable payments network. The
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The size of the projected pool shows that even a low MDR can materially reshape India’s digital payments economics.